Friday, April 17, 2009
El crecimiento Más general Trae malas Noticias para los bancos
El colapso EN LA OFICINA Y OTRAS no property Residencial Ya ha exprimido EE.UU. Las EMPRESAS financieras, CON LOS bancos Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Citigroup Inc., the company de las de Seguros American International Group Inc in MetLife EN de la Presentación informer billion write-off.
Pero el fracaso Más Grande de-BIENES Raíces stories en-la-de-los-EE.UU. Todavía PUEDE predecir Mayor Dolor de lo previsto POR delante-de-los-bancos EN EL ámbito inmobiliario.
"Property de crecimiento general básicamente UN Mensaje para el Resto del Mundo financiero QUE ESTÁ pasando Estonia, PORQUE UN hay Monton de pequeñas operaciones, Las not Reuner al attention TIPO DE QUE EL crecimiento Total (ha) that are available teniendo dificultades" dijo James Ellman, Presidente del Fondo de cobertura Seacliff Capital.
El crecimiento improving overall colapso it is unlikely that sea el Latest POR UNO-de-los-principales desarrolladores in EE.UU. Ya QUE LA mayoría SE encuentran some Fuentes de Financiación de Ventas para on refinanciar de la Deuda maduración.
Alrededor with $ 814 million MILLONES de Deuda Comercial hipotecaria Madura turn SE QUE EN-los próximos dos AÑOS, según firm-de-la-de-studies BIENES de Raíces prospectiva Analytics.
El panorama ha empeorado ", dijo Anton protection, PRESIDENTE DE Mendon Capital.
ADEMAS, Los-bancos TAMBIÉN podrían verse obligados a renegociar algunos préstamos CON EL FIN-de Perdidas Further avoided.
Los-bancos no quiere Los propios commercial centers. Los prices son MUY Bajos, POR LO QUE Los bancos PUEDEN Estar Bajo Presión para Más margins are maniobra para los de destacaron Comercial operator of commercial centers in Los operator Seguir funcionando Kon de la Esperanza QUE and trav puedan OBTENER -de-la-recesión not incautación-de-los-BIENES, L. Venta UN Precio Venta de Fuego Y QUE TENER sufrir a Gran perdida ", dijo Ellman.
Otro Dolor de Cabeza para REGIONAL DE Bancos
Casa de Fox corretaje-Pitt Kelton assessment QUE BIENES commercial representados Raíces EN promedio POR Ciento EL-23-de-los-préstamos de los de-bancos Almost 60 QUE Abarca, CON 57 POR TANTO To EN EL CASO Ciento De PacWest Bancorp
Dijo that Aun los bancos necesitan cifra record de US $ 63 MILLONES EN LA Construcción Y BIENES commercial Raíces, Perdidas, O EL 83 POR Ciento Total Estimado to Las Perdidas QUE EN LOS NEGOCIOS.
ADEMAS, dijo Fox-Pitt reglamentarios data de los bancos sugirió 100 La Construcción Y Raíces BIENES commercial, Las Perdidas fueron 2.39 Y POR LA Ciento morosidad POR Ciento 5.27 fueron EN EL Cuarto trimestre, Todavía MUY POR debajo de los Picos historicos POR Ciento de 4.46 and 17.16 POR Ciento, respectivamente, DESDE principios to decenio de 1990, Cuando Eran Los préstamos la Fuente de Credito main agitación.
Los-bancos regional podrían Ser some de-las-principales víctimas.
"If Khan financiado Más pequeñas property de Sus comunidades, POCO commercial on-los-regional center, Y Los Afectados son sin Duda QUE TIENE To conseguir minoristas reduction ... Y obviamente la capacidad-de-los-commercial para llevar el Service de su Deuda debilita ", afirmó protection.
Fox-Pitt Estimado BB and T Corp., Comercio Y Bancshares Inc Sterling Bancshares Inc Todavía TIENEN QUE Darse Bill de Entre 94 and 95 POR Ciento de Su Construcción Y-de-la-Cartera BIENES commercial Raíces.
Más Alla de los-bancos regional, incluso EN Wall Street Estrellas PARECE EN Estar problems. A principios de Este MES, Roger Freeman, Barclays Capital, Morgan Stanley analista de calculations QUE podría incurrir S $ 2,6 million MILLONES-de Sus Perdidas BIENES Raíces de Inversiones.
Goldman Sachs and Sanford C. Bernstein Wall Street cortar el del Banco de ingresos Foresight Chief citando cancellation in your presence Comercial EN LOS Best respaldados POR hipotecas inmobiliarias Y SUS carteras investment.
Pero su not available to solo. Entre los mayores bancos commercial, de Fox-Pitt Estimado de Bank of America Corp. El Futuro-de-las-Perdidas relacionadas CON SU Construcción Y BIENES commercial Raíces Cartera representaba EL 5 Ciento POR SU social capital común.
El-temor de las there-QUE disposición Aun no han SIDO totalmente ", dijo Thomas Russo, director of Gardner Russo And Gardner.
Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, Sterling Bancshares, BB AND T Bancshares Comercio in his HACER comments.
Wednesday, March 25, 2009
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"We are moving in the right direction," said Obama, in his second prime-time White House news conference since taking office on January 20.
The drop step anger, government and corporate bonds, compared with its huge skepticism about the budget, Obama has moved into its policy and focus on the economic agenda to a large extent.
He made his case the American people on the same day that a coordinated approach among the largest economies of the world, and only on the day following the discovery of billions of dollars soak up toxic bank assets in connection with the global financial collapse.
Obama has the podium after the U.S. called on investors' stock slipped, while the government's recent efforts aimed at maintaining the balance of the banks. The initial euphoria about the plan, stocks sharply higher on Monday.
Despite the fact that the economy is in, the press conference Obama gave him an opportunity to lay the foundations for a certain week before he made his debut on the international scene with his first major presidential election in overseas travel.
Brush side G20 summit of major economies in London on 2 April, it is inconsistent with its European partners, Obama said that he expects state leaders shared the goal of promoting growth and renewal of outdated financial management, avoiding trade protectionism.
Obama, who promises to repair America's image abroad, after eight years of George W. Bush has previously stated that the signs of change in its policy of "restoring confidence" in the international world of American leadership
He made it clear that he was serious about its recently about a new beginning in the U.S. for a long time enemy of Iran and said that the status quo in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict has taken on a strong commitment to the U.S. as "unsustainable sustainable."
Dominated economy
Focusing on the economy, Obama said: "We have developed a strategy to attack this crisis on all fronts. This is a strategy to create jobs to help the owner to resume lending and economic growth in our economy in the long run. And we are beginning to see signs of progress ".
The administration cited the recent signs of improvement in the devastated housing market, but most of the major economic indicators are still under extreme stress.
Obama higher adoption have been tested in the public response to the payment of $ 165 million in executive bonuses to American International Group after the insurance giant received a $ 180 billion in taxpayer funds to rescue.
Obama was forced to repeatedly denounce AIG bonuses in an attempt to temper public outrage and calls for protection of the Minister of Finance Timothy Geithner waive its consideration of the case.
Obama has serious problems with the way back to the journalists, but he was pressed over AIG wildcat scandal.
The question of why his sentence was deferred for payment of AIG, the president - who cultivated "Obama is not a fiction" image ", - he said laconically:" It took us a few days because I would like to know what I am talking about before speak. "
AIG sensation to distract Americans from Obama to convince them that the $ 787 billion program to stimulate economic shock to the economy from recession, and its inclusion of $ 3.55 trillion budget for fiscal year 2010 money.
An attempt to resolve the matter on its economic rescue measures, Obama defended his proposal on the budget, the opposition and even some fellow Republicans, Democrats have criticized for being too expensive.
Obama said his budget, and then in the committees of Congress this week, paving the way to overall economic growth, providing time to borrow and spend, if we save and invest. "
Congressional Budget Office projects Obama plan the budget deficit for fiscal year 2009 is just over 1.8 billion dollars for fiscal year 2010, about 1.4 billion U.S. dollars.
Knowing about the problems, leading Obama, his economic outlook. "There are no quick fixes, and there is no panacea," he said.
He stressed that the United States, despite the economic problems the U.S. has "very strong" on the credibility of America in the economic outlook and said that there is no need for a single global currency - a proposal recently submitted by China and Russia.
Wednesday, March 11, 2009
Vaunted Obama message machine has a central place
Friday, March 6, 2009
Obama said that the U.S. - can not afford to wait for health care
Thursday, March 5, 2009
Obama wants to costly defense contracts
Wednesday, March 4, 2009
Top U.S. - officials in Syria, as Clinton has pursued peace in the Middle East, "many areas"
U. S. Secretary of State, meets Israeli leaders in Jerusalem, said he could not predict whether the talks. But he added: "We do not participate in discussions on the establishment of a chain. There should be an objective for them to be certain advantages for the United States and our allies."
U.S. said Jeffrey Feltman, Principal State Department Middle East diplomat, who would travel to Damascus to Dan Shapiro in the White House National Security Council. Feltman met last week for almost two hours with the Syrian Embassy in Washington, the highest level contact between the countries since the beginning of the government Obama.
Washington recalled its ambassador to Damascus in 2005 after the assassination in Beirut of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik al-Hariri. But the Obama administration should reconsider its policy towards Syria, and was considering sending ambassador back. On Monday at a conference on aid to Palestinians in Egypt, Clinton shook hands and spoke briefly with Syrian Foreign Minister Walid al-Moallem.
Clinton came after the announcement, she met with Israeli Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni. He also met with Israeli President Shimon Peres and opposition leader and likely next Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the current Prime Minister Ehud Olmert.
Clinton said Monday he wants to achieve peace between Israel and the Arab world in many fronts, that they can get Israel and Syria to talk. Some leaders of Israel believed that the agreement with Syria would be easier to achieve a peace agreement with the Palestinians. Nevertheless, in all visibility, Netanyahu made at the beginning of negotiations with Syria, abandoning the Golan Heights to Syria, which Israel captured in 1967.
Netanyahu, who is likely to be in a narrow, right-wing government is also short for the two states to end the conflict between Israel and the Palestinians. Clinton said that an independent Palestinian state was "inevitable" that the new Israeli Government against the dollar - Administration. Clinton said one of the two States in the operation "in the best interests of Israel."
"The United States is firmly committed to achieving the two-State solution, at each step of the way, he said." The need for cooperation in dealing with a two-state solution is inevitable. "
It was not a criticism of Israel, at a time than three weeks after the election of a new government is still in training, and proposed a "relentless" support for Israel's security. She once again spoke against rocket attacks by militant Palestinians in the Gaza Strip and said that can not be regarded as a "permanent ceasefire", the militias during their attacks. "There is no doubt that any country, including Israel, can not monitor its territory and people, rocket attacks," he said.
Clinton meets Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas and Prime Minister Salam Fayyad in the occupied West Bank tomorrow.
Israeli officials were willing to talk to Clinton about the nuclear ambitions of Iran, Israel, as one of the biggest problems in the region.
The newspaper Haaretz said that Israeli officials "red lines" in negotiations between Washington and Tehran. Israel said that he wants a tightening of sanctions, while the dialogue is happening, and an action plan for the development of U.S. - Russia, France, Germany and Great Britain advance to decide how to act if the talks do not. Israel also wants the time limit for the negotiations said.
Clinton said she was with the United States with Israel in its approach to Iran. "When we talk about engagement with Iran, not to be confused in any way. Our goal remains the same: to keep and to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, as well as continued funding of terrorism," he said.
"What we do well, based on consultations with our friends and Israel, especially Israel."
Monday, March 2, 2009
Obama aide: deficit goals on track despite grim economy
White House Budget Director Peter Orzag also fiercely defended a proposed $ 600 billion plan to tax high-income Americans to pay for a healthcare overhaul and another $ 600 billion plan to sell companies permits to emit carbon-dioxide gases above a fixed limit.
Republicans have complained that measures would stifle any economic rebound and weaken small businesses.
"I just reject the theory that the only thing that drives economic performance is the marginal tax rate on wealthy Americans, and the only way of being pro-market is to funnel billions and billions of dollars of subsidies to corporations," Orzag said on ABC's "This Week."
Obama last week proposed a $ 3.6 trillion spending plan for fiscal 2010, with a deficit of $ 1.12 trillion, and projected the deficit would fall to $ 533 billion in 2013. He projected a $ 1.75 trillion deficit for 2009, including the impact of a two-year economic stimulus package costing $ 787 billion.
The deficit forecasts were based in part on predictions that the economy would shrink 1.2 percent in 2009 before growing again by 3.2 percent in 2010 - figures already more optimistic than those of most economists surveyed by the Blue Chip Economic Indicators newsletter just before the stimulus plan was approved.
Then on Friday, the government reported the U.S. economy shrank by 6.2 percent in the last three months of 2008, the steepest since 1982 and far worse than most forecasts.
A sharper-than-expected contraction in the economy would lead to weakened government revenue from income taxes and other sources.
But asked if the deficit-reduction targets remained on track, Orzag said, "I think so."
"The deficit reduction doesn't just come from the economy recovering. And by 2013 or 2014, let's all hope that the economy is back on its feet," Orzag said.
He said spending cuts and new revenue sources would also help meet the targets.
HEALTH CARE OVERHAUL
Obama last week proposed a 10-year, $ 646 billion overhaul to expand healthcare to the 46 million people who are uninsured in the United States. It would be financed largely by raising taxes on households earning more than $ 250,000 a year. Much of that would come from letting tax cuts enacted by President George W. Bush expire on schedule in 2011.
Some Democrats have joined Republicans in expressing concerns about the tax increases.
"As we see in this budget that has been presented last week, it is proposing massive tax increases on people and on businesses that can't afford to pay them," said Representative Eric Cantor, who has led resistance among House Republicans to Obama's economic agenda.
Monday, February 16, 2009
White House dampens stimulus expectations
Obama is due to sign the bill passed last week by Congress in Denver on Tuesday. It was the first major legislative victory of his young presidency, which could rise or fall with its success or failure.
"There will be signs of activity very quickly," David Axelrod, the White House senior adviser, said on "Fox News Sunday." "But it's going to take time for that to show up in the statistics. The president has said it's likely to get worse before it gets better."
White House spokesman Robert Gibbs used similar language on CBS' "Face the Nation."
"I don't think there's any doubt that we've seen this economy has gotten worse just in the last few months. The acceleration in job loss probably means that this economy is going to get worse before it gets better," he said.
Obama himself said last week that if he failed to heal the economy, he would be out of a job by 2012, when he faces re-election.
The White House hopes the package will save or create 3.5 million jobs. Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com, said on "Fox News Sunday" that was likely too optimistic.
"By my estimate, it will add 2 to 2.5 million jobs, more than would be the case without stimulus, by the end of 2010. That translates into a lower unemployment rate of about a point to a point and a half," he said.
Only three Republican senators supported the bill and no Republicans in the House of Representatives backed it. They kept up their criticism on the Sunday television talk shows.
"This bill was not bipartisan. It is incredibly expensive. It has hundreds of billions of dollars in projects which will not yield in jobs," said John McCain, whom Obama defeated in last year's presidential election, said on CNN's "State of the Union."
Gibbs said Obama's team had crafted a stimulus bill to produce jobs as quickly as possible in an economy that lost 3.6 million in the past year.
BALANCED APPROACH
"The urgency to get something done was very important," he said. "What we have here is a very balanced approach that's going to put people to work."
Obama faces a new potential flashpoint next week when two Detroit automakers, General Motors Corp and Chrysler LLC, must reach agreements with the United Auto Workers labor union to restructure themselves.
Talks between GM and the union broke down on Saturday. Chrysler's negotiations with the UAW are also deadlocked.
Axelrod made it clear the White House would not intervene in the situation until after Tuesday.
"Obviously, this is a difficult situation and everyone's going to have to continue to work toward a solution. We're going to wait and see what the automakers have to say on Tuesday and we'll go from there," he said.
On a third front, Obama plans to issue a plan to tackle the housing crisis next week, hoping to stem a flood of home foreclosures that has weakened the banking system and frozen credit markets while continuing to depress house prices.
http://www.reuters.com
Wednesday, February 11, 2009
U.S. offers $2 trillion bank plan but stocks slump
Global markets had intensely awaited Geithner's ideas for a plan mixing private and public funding to stabilize a financial system tottering under the weight of bad mortgages, but were disappointed over the scant details provided.
The Dow Jones industrial average ended down 4.6 percent -- its biggest one-day percentage drop since December 1 -- with bank stocks hit particularly hard. U.S. government bonds rose as investors scrambled for safe-haven debt.
In a speech on television and in Capitol Hill testimony, Geithner made his case for how the Obama administration plans to handle the roughly $350 billion left in a $700 billion financial bailout fund approved by Congress in October.
Geithner said the lack of public confidence in prior rescue efforts had made it all the more difficult to stop "a dangerous dynamic" in which a lack of credit undercuts the economy and leads to more weakness among banks, worsening the recession.
"This is very complicated to get it right," he said in an interview on Bloomberg Television. "We are going to try to get it right before we give the details so that we don't add further to uncertainty in these markets."
He steered clear of saying whether the administration might have to ask Congress for more money to fix the banks, restore credit and counter recession, but did not rule it out.
"We're going to consult with the Congress carefully to try to make sure the world understands that the resources necessary to solve this will be available over time," Geithner told CNBC, adding: "The important thing is that ... we send a basic signal, working with the Congress, that we will do what's necessary to fix this."
The lack of details frustrated many market participants.
"Investors want clarity, simplicity and resolution. This plan is seen as convoluted, obfuscating and clouded," said James Ellman, president of Seacliff Capital in San Francisco.
But Thomas Priore, president of ICP Capital in New York, gave Geithner credit for candidly laying out the depth and difficulty presented by the problem of how to restart credit flows when banks are burdened by hard-to-value, weak assets.
"He told it like it is. That's a start," Priore said.
LEVERAGING PRIVATE MONEY
Geithner defended his decision to put forward what he called a framework instead of waiting until a detailed proposal was ready.
"If we wait and we take the approach that we don't lay that out, ever, until we've solved every problem and every detail, then I think that itself will create greater uncertainty," he said, acknowledging he was "very sensitive" to criticism about the approach.
A centerpiece of the renamed "Financial Stability Plan" is a proposal to set up a public-private investment fund, in partnership with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, a bank watchdog, and the Federal Reserve.
Seeded with public money, it would leverage up to $500 billion -- and possibly as much as $1 trillion -- so that toxic assets can be purged from a weakened banking system.
Geithner told an invited audience at the U.S. Treasury that $50 billion in federal rescue funds will be used to try to stem home foreclosures and soften the crushing impact of the deep housing crisis now afflicting the entire economy.
The plan would also expand a Fed program aimed at expanding credit card, student, auto and small business lending.
The facility will grow from its current $200 billion limit to up to $1 trillion, thanks to a jump in Treasury funding to $100 billion from $20 billion.
The lending program would be extended to cover some mortgage-related assets.
The Treasury also said it would continue to pump capital into banks, as the former Bush administration did, but Geithner said there will be conditions attached to ensure the money is lent and that top executives heed restraints on their pay.
In return for the capital, the government would receive preferred shares in the banks that could convert to common stock.
BANK FIX PART OF LARGER PLAN
Geithner said it was critically important to restore credit flows in order for a separate $800-billion-plus package of tax cuts and government spending measures to lift the economy.
Shortly after Geithner announced the plan, the U.S. Senate cleared an $838 billion stimulus package, which needs to be reconciled with a separate bill approved by the U.S. House of Representatives.
The Treasury is tussling with the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression as careless lending fueled a housing boom gone bust, dragging the U.S. economy -- and much of the rest of the world -- into a deep recession.
President Barack Obama said on Monday that cleaning up banks' balance sheets was a priority and did not rule out the possibility that it will take more money than the $700 billion Congress already has approved to complete the job.
"We don't know yet whether we're going to need additional money or how much additional money we'll need until we see how successful we are at restoring a level of confidence in the marketplace," Obama told a news conference.
http://www.reuters.com